Black Friday arrives amid confusion this year. Supply chains are broken, retailers are experiencing mass resignations and inflation is creeping up. At the same time, stimulus checks have buoyed bank accounts, hiring appears strong and Americans are flat out spending.
October retail and food service sales surged 16.3 percent compared with a year ago. That is a record high excluding several months during the spring when federal stimulus checks caused sharp spikes in spending.
From September to October, retail sales jumped 1.7 percent, the U.S. Commerce Department said Tuesday. That was the biggest month-to-month gain since March and was up from a 0.8 percent increase from August to September.
Despite early evidence that Americans are looking for cheaper options amid rising prices, most economists anticipate holiday shopping jumping by a record amount this year and local officials are hoping more residents can be convinced to skip the online ordering and take their valuable purchases to local stores.
Mom and Pop retailers have been hit hard in the past two years with up to one in four nationwide closing last year and that loss reverberates throughout a community.
About 70 cents of each dollar spent in Santa Monica stays here. That money is used to keep essential services up and running, including local parks and libraries, while also funding local teachers and school counselors.
“Local businesses depend on locals,” said Kara Taub with Montana Ave. Merchants Association. “And the holiday season is a crucial time when shopping in your local community really does keep that community alive. The past 18 months have shown us what it feels like to be stuck on the computer all day long. And just how great it feels to get out and experience real life - to talk to a person, connect, see and touch.”
Santa Monica’s local economy is showing signs of life with rebounding visitors to the Promenade and the restart of significant international travel, but officials said that progress depends on continued local spending.
“All significant indicators show us that Santa Monica’s economic outlook is extremely promising,” said City Manager David White. “Our resilient future can be attributed to Santa Monica’s adaptability over the last 20 months, bringing business outdoors, a strong community wide commitment to public health best practices, and the return of travelers both international and domestic. Economic recovery is a communitywide investment and from what I see, Santa Monicans show up in meaningful ways. Thank you for shopping local, eating local, and encouraging family and friends to come enjoy our special community this holiday season.”
While holiday spending is an important seasonal boost to the local economy, residents who want to do some good without actually buying something also have local options.
“Anyone who is looking to make charitable contributions before the year ends is encouraged to give to the We Are Santa Monica Fund,” said Debbie Lee, Chief Communications Officer. “By giving to the fund, you can support local food insecurity, business recovery, and the Black Agenda for Santa Monica. Show your local love by bolstering community members in need this season.”
SIDEBAR
Millennial Money: 4 reasons to shop Small Business Saturday
By LAUREN SCHWAHN of NerdWallet
When you think about holiday shopping, your mind probably goes to big-box retailers before your neighborhood bookstore or antique shop. But in a time marked by widespread supply chain disruptions and inflation, underdog small businesses deserve our attention.
Enter Small Business Saturday.
Small Business Saturday is an annual event created by American Express that encourages consumers to shop at small businesses during the busy holiday season. It takes place the Saturday after Thanksgiving, which lands on Nov. 27 this year.
Here's why you should consider shopping small for the holidays, and what to expect.
- LOCAl BUSINESSES NEED SUPPORT
The pandemic hit businesses hard. Roughly 200,000 additional establishments — mostly small ones — permanently closed between March 2020 and February 2021, according to a Federal Reserve report. That's on top of the pre-pandemic rate of roughly 600,000 annual closures. Many surviving businesses are still at risk, due to factors like deferred rent payments and overdue credit card bills. Your patronage could give them a fighting chance.
"I think we have to ask ourselves as consumers, would we be sad if a retailer closed?" says Lauren Beitelspacher, associate professor and chair of the marketing division at Babson College in Massachusetts. "And if the answer is yes, then we have to find ways to shop and support there when we can."
Shopping and dining on Small Business Saturday is one way to show appreciation for local businesses, especially those we've depended on during the pandemic, Beitelspacher adds.
Remember the restaurants you got takeout from during stay-at-home orders? Or the skin care boutique that supplied you with hand sanitizer? They were there for us when we needed them; let's return the favor. - COMMUNITIES AND THE ENVIRONMENT BENEFIT
The dollars you spend on Small Business Saturday make a difference beyond retailers' doors. Small businesses create local jobs and pay local taxes, which keeps money circulating within communities.
"By doing their shopping at local small businesses, customers can directly support their neighbors and help benefit their local economies," said Mark Madrid, associate administrator for the Office of Entrepreneurial Development at the U.S. Small Business Administration, in an email.
Shopping small for the holidays can also be environmentally friendly. When locally owned businesses locally source raw materials or manufactured products, it reduces the distance that goods travel, says Madhav Durbha, vice president of supply chain strategy at Coupa Software, a California-based business spend management platform.
"No shipping from across the globe and less packaging make for a smaller carbon footprint," Durbha says. - IT CAN OFFER A BETTER SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
Ongoing supply chain issues and inflation mean shoppers will likely see less inventory and higher prices this holiday shopping season.
"It's basic economics, right? The supply is going to be lower, and so the demand is going to be higher, and so the prices are not going to drop like they have in the past. I'm not saying that there won't be deals, but it might not be deals on the hot-ticket items that we want," Beitelspacher says.
Flashy doorbuster deals that big-name retailers traditionally flaunt during holiday sales might be harder to come by. Shoppers can expect sold-out items and shipping delays in categories like toys, luxury goods and consumer electronics, Durbha says.
Small Business Saturday shoppers might fare better, depending on what they're searching for. Shops that sell secondhand goods or items produced in the same community will be shielded from much of the supply chain disruption, Durbha says.
Shopping small for the holidays boasts other advantages, too. Shoppers can receive more personalized service and experience smaller crowds. Many small businesses also entice customers with exclusive discounts, promotions or freebies on Small Business Saturday — so saving money is still on the table. - YOU CAN FIND UNIQUE GIFTS
Shop at Target, Walmart or Best Buy and you'll find little variation among their product selection.
"If you go to a big brand store, you can find that (inventory) in a thousand stores. But if you go to a small, locally owned business, you can find something very special and very unique for the holiday season," Durbha says.
Maybe that's handcrafted jewelry, a print made by a local artist, a vintage record player or a gift card for the best bakery in town. See what interesting, rare or one-of-a-kind gifts you can discover on Small Businesses Saturday.
TIPS FOR SHOPPING SMALL
Check your favorite local retailers' websites and social media pages for store offerings, hours and event announcements in the days leading up to Small Business Saturday. You can also find participating businesses online using the American Express Shop Small map or by exploring hashtags like #shopsmall and #SmallBusinessSaturday.
Then, start gathering ideas for your gift list. You can get a sense of what might be in stock and within budget when Small Business Saturday arrives.
"Or get a head start on your shopping now," Madrid said. "It's never a bad time to support small businesses and to help boost your local economy."
The Associated Press contributed to this story